So What? Philippe de Croy at
The Volokh Conspiracy has been listening to NPR a lot lately (and so have I). He claims that he's figured out the anti-Bush playbook. Well, I hate Bush, and I have my own little internet soapbox where I discuss that quite openly, so I'm something of an expert of the anti-Bush playbook. So let's take a look: First, he says, we must "Make clear that it was obvious all along what the military outcome would be, and that skepticism about it formed no part of your opposition to the war." Time out! It
was obvious all along what the military outcome would be. Everybody said so. Liberals said "It might not be as easy as the White House is leading people to believe," and it wasn't. But everybody knew that the U.S. military would win militarily. That's what they're trained to do, and there's no better military in the world. Yes, the Super Bowl champs have beaten the local High School squad. So let's have a party and re-elect Bush while we're at it, because only a truly great President could have pulled off the military defeat of Saddam Hussein!!
Ok, let me wipe the vomit off of my chin, and then we'll continue. "State that of course you are happy for the Iraqi people -- those who weren't killed in the invasion -- but be careful never to end a sentence that way. Instead, always follow that sentiment with another that begins "but," or "; I only wish..." or "I only hope..." and then segue into other concerns -- the "diplomatic mess" we've created, or the "long term" picture, or "winning the peace," and so forth." Ok, I do this all the time. In fact, I did something like this just yesterday in an e-mail to Keith. But this is entirely in keeping with what I will call the liberal conception of the war. First, secure the military victory, which might be difficult but will definitely be achieved. Second, turn your attention to the deeper issues, the thornier problems, and the potential diplomatic pitfalls. Right now, we're on the cusp of that divide. Therefore, I'm very happy for the Iraqi people, but I hope we do better with Iraq than we did in Afghanistan. I was very happy for the Afghans, too, when women began throwing down their burqas and attending public schools. But, a year later, the situation in Afghanistan has not progressed, and is threatening to slide back into Taliban hands. I've said from the beginning that this entire enterprised must be judged, and can only be judged, by the situation in Iraq post-Saddam. So far, it's a kind of jubilant anarchy, as far as I can tell. For the rest, we'll have to wait see, and liberals would be well advised to mention the considerable difficulties that the Bush Administration will have to face, to try to make sure that those challenges are met.
"Talk a lot about things that "aren't clear" or that "remain to be seen." These sorts of assertions are good because they are hard to falsify. E.g.: "it's not clear how much of the excitement the Iraqis are showing is because Saddam is gone and how much of it is because of all the looting they are able to do." Or: "it remains to be seen whether the factions in the country can be governed in anything like the way the administration is imagining."" Is it clear what the Iraqis are celebrating? Is it clear that the factions can be governed? In other words, are these not perfectly good questions?
"Be forward-looking. Or past-looking. The point is to de-emphasize the present. Dwell on what hasn't been done, not what has been done. The sudden liberation of millions of people from tyranny is not, repeat not, the most important thing. Say that what counts is what comes next, that all this will only be meaningful if it ends up leading to true democracy and prosperity for Iraq." Excuse me? Let's try a thought experiment: imagine that the next leader of Iraq is a cruel and despotic dictator named Dassam Suhhein, who terrorizes his citizens, executes political dissidents, and starts trying to acquire weapons of mass destruction so he can sell them to international terrorists, then what's this war been for? Is it a good thing that Saddam Hussein is out of power? Certainly! But what comes next
is more important, because we don't yet know what exactly the Iraqis have gained. We know that they will no longer be terrorized by Saddam Hussein. Do we know that they will no longer be terrorized? No we don't, and we must make it our mission to assure that they are not.
"Remember: you haven't been proven wrong about anything, and the neocons haven't been proven right about anything." Speaking for myself, I can't think of anything I've been proven wrong about yet. The neocons? They've been proven wrong about Iraq being a "cakewalk". It wasn't. It still isn't.
What really annoys me that de Croy doesn't refute, or even address, and of the claims or arguments he is attributing to the Bush-haters. He is merely objecting, I suppose, to the structure of those arguments, and their presentation. So what? Are these arguments wrong? Why?
It seems to me that conservatives everywhere do not merely want to declare the military mission to be a victory, but they seem to want to claim, or imply, that our objectives have been achieved and we should all pat ourselves on the back. Well, our military objections have been achieved, mostly, and that's wonderful. But liberals have been saying all along that the military phase would be the easy part, and many liberals, including myself, opposed this war in part because they didn't trust the Bush Administration to handle the hard part, which is starting now.
The point is, if you want to criticize the liberal critics, do it. But de Croy's snarky post is entirely without content, and fails to address any of the legitimate and very serious issues raised by the "Bush-haters".